
Explainer
Electoral math: Suburbs offer pathway to power
If calculations prove correct, the pathway to power in an election dominated by the cost of living will be paved with the support of outer suburbia. The overall equation is stark: the coalition needs to make up 20-plus seats to claim a majority and more if they fail to recoup others from party detractors who quit mid-term, while Labor must limit haemorrhaging to a handful of electorates to maintain government. The common denominator, if the experts have it right, is clear: outer suburban and regional “arcs” around Sydney and Melbourne will be where the election is won.